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Tool Schedule AVERAGE TIMELINES

How long does an urban transformation take?

PIU, PPP, and OUC are different instruments, with different timelines and different critical paths. This page visualizes, side by side, the stages of each one, from the opening move to execution. The timelines are market averages, not exact figures.

overview

In one line.

Three instruments, three time scales. The table compares total timeline, dominant critical path, and who leads each process.

Instrument Average total timeline Critical path Who leads
PIU 18 to 36 months Technical approval + public hearing Municipality (with private participation)
Municipal PPP 24 to 48 months Structuring (EVTEA) and bidding Municipality (with private investor)
OUC 36 to 72 months Specific municipal law and CEPACs Municipality (with market and property owners)
first instrument

PIU · Urban Intervention Project.

Provides the urbanistic and financial detailing of a perimeter previously classified as AIU or OUC in the Master Plan. An instrument specific to São Paulo (Decree 56,901/2016), and a conceptual reference in other cities.

schedule · scale 0 to 36 months
critical path parallel stage
01Opportunity identification
M0 to M2
02Territorial diagnosis
M1 to M6
03Program of interventions
M4 to M12
04Economic modeling
M6 to M14
05Public consultation
M12 to M16
06Public hearing
M14 to M18
07Municipal technical review
M14 to M22
08Approval by municipal decree
M22 to M24
09Execution and operational regulation
M24 to M36
9 stages. Critical path: 01 → 03 → 04 → 06 → 07 → 08. Bottleneck: municipal technical review overlapping with the public hearing.
second instrument

PPP · Public-Private Partnership.

When the service runs at a deficit or there is no chargeable user tariff, it is the PPP that makes it feasible. Law 11,079/2004. Municipal cap: 5% of RCL (Net Current Revenue).

schedule · scale 0 to 48 months
critical path parallel stage
01Project identification
M0 to M2
02PMI or MIP
M1 to M8
03EVTEA (FEP Caixa or consultancy)
M6 to M20
04Legal review and fiscal modeling
M14 to M22
05Public consultation (min. 30 business days)
M22 to M25
06Public hearing
M24 to M26
07Authorization by the PPP Steering Committee
M26 to M28
08Bid notice publication
M28 to M30
09Public session and auction
M32 to M34
10Contract signing and SPE
M34 to M36
11Initial investments (CAPEX)
M36 to M48
11 stages. Critical path: 01 → 03 → 04 → 05 → 07 → 08 → 09 → 10. Bottleneck: robust EVTEA and bidding.
third instrument

OUC · Consorted Urban Operation.

A set of interventions coordinated by a specific municipal law. Allows issuance of CEPACs and mobilization of private capital. Cases: Faria Lima, Porto Maravilha. City Statute, arts. 32 to 34.

schedule · scale 0 to 72 months (5 years)
critical path parallel stage
01Perimeter definition by the Master Plan
M0 to M6
02Preliminary studies
M3 to M12
03Reference urban design
M9 to M24
04EIV and EIA-RIMA, if applicable
M18 to M36
05Building rights stock
M18 to M30
06Public hearing and consultation
M24 to M30
07Specific municipal law passage
M30 to M42
08Law enactment
M42 to M44
09Executive regulation
M44 to M50
10CVM registration for CEPACs
M48 to M54
11First CEPAC auction
M54 to M56
12Works
M56 to M72
12 stages. Critical path: 01 → 03 → 06 → 07 → 08 → 10 → 11 → 12. Bottleneck: legislative passage and CVM registration.
starting point

Why these timelines diverge so much.

The PIU is, above all, a detailing instrument. It only exists over a perimeter that the Master Plan has already classified as AIU or OUC. For that reason, it skips the slowest stage of any urban transformation: the original discussion of the perimeter. The schedule starts with a conceptual area already delimited and ends with approval by decree, with no need to go through the City Council.

The PPP has no such slack. Even when the object is clear, what eats up the schedule is the fiscal modeling and the design of the risk matrix. The EVTEA must demonstrate value for money, fiscal sustainability within the 5% RCL cap, and attractiveness to the market. After that, the bidding follows the procedures of Law 8,666 or 14,133, with non-compressible minimum periods for objections, appeals, and award.

The OUC carries the longest timeline because it requires a specific municipal law plus the CEPAC cycle. A bill in the City Council is a black box: it may take 8 months or 24, depending on the political composition of the moment. After enactment, there is still the registration of the prospectus with the CVM, which is a financial process with a logic different from urbanism, and that often surprises municipal teams not trained in capital markets.

In all three, the recurring bottleneck that appears in lived schedules, not planned ones, is the same: a poorly prepared public hearing (which must be redone) and insufficient municipal technical capacity to handle the complexity of the instrument without outsourcing entire stages. This shows up in the three Gantts as light gray at the bottom of the scale, but in real life it tends to turn black and double in size.

where time is lost

Typical delays.

Five predictable events that tend to add months (or years) to the schedule of any instrument.

  1. 01 Poorly prepared public hearing (must be redone): adds 6 to 12 months. Inadequate publicity, lack of translation into citizen language, or inaccessible technical material voids the act.
  2. 02 Insufficient EVTEA (must be reformulated): adds 6 to 18 months. Misjudged demand, fragile risk matrix, or overestimated revenue scenario forces a new round of studies.
  3. 03 Stalled passage in the Municipal Council: adds 6 to 24 months. Uninformed council members, organized opposition by affected property owners, or a competing political agenda paralyzes the bill.
  4. 04 Judicialization of the bid notice or contract: adds 12 to 36 months. A writ of mandamus, class action, or challenge by a losing bidder suspends the public session until a final decision.
  5. 05 Change of municipal administration in the middle of the process: variable, may restart stages. A new technical team usually demands a full review of premises and redoes administrative acts it considers flawed.
technical recommendation

How to shorten the schedule.

A current Master Plan shortens the first stage of any instrument. When the municipality already has a Master Plan reviewed within the ten-year cycle, with perimeters, density vectors, and building rights stocks formally defined, the phase of territorial diagnosis and perimeter definition is cut in half. Without an updated Master Plan, the instrument has to carry the burden of the homework that has not yet been done.

FEP Caixa funds the EVTEA at no upfront cost to the municipality. The Project Structuring Fund of Caixa Econômica Federal contracts technical, economic, and environmental feasibility studies for eligible municipalities, with reimbursement conditioned on the success of the project (only if there is a winning bidder). This removes the financial and technical barrier that paralyzes PPPs in medium-sized municipalities, but requires advance planning, since the FEP queue typically runs 6 to 12 months.

A transparently prepared public hearing reduces litigation. Technical material published 30 days in advance, an online session with a recorded broadcast, translation of technical terms in a public glossary, and a report responding to each statement create procedural protection. The cost of this preparation is marginal compared to the 12 to 36 months that a successful class action adds to the schedule.